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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">thealth</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Здравоохранение Таджикистана</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Health care of Tajikistan</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">0514-2415</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Редакция журнала «Здравоохранение Таджикистана»</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.52888/0514-2515-2023-357-2-37-44</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">thealth-452</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Статьи</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Прогнозирование ишемии кишечника  у больных со спаечной тонкокишечной непроходимостью</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Predicting of intestinal ischemia in patients with  adhesive small bowel obstruction</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Гулов</surname><given-names>М. К.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Gulov</surname><given-names>M. K.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>кафедра общей хирургии №1</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Department of General Surgery №1</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Салимов</surname><given-names>Дж. С.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Salimov</surname><given-names>J. S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Салимов Джамшед Сайдахмадович – к.м.н., доцент, кафедра общей хирургии №1</p><p>Тел.: +992907758510</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Salimov Jamshed Saidakhmadovich - Candidate of Medical Sciences, associate professor, Department of General Surgery №1</p><p>Tel: +992907758510</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">salimov_jamshed1973@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Мухаббатов</surname><given-names>Дж. К.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Mukhabbatov</surname><given-names>J. K.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>кафедра общей хирургии №1</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Department of General Surgery №1</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Али-Заде</surname><given-names>С. Г.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Ali-Zade</surname><given-names>S. G.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>кафедра хирургических болезней №1</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Department of Surgical Diseases No.1</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Носири</surname><given-names>К. Н.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Nosiri</surname><given-names>K. N.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>кафедра общей хирургии №1</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Department of General Surgery №1</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ГОУ «Таджикский государственный медицинский университет имени Абуали ибни Сино»</institution><country>Таджикистан</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>SEI Avicenna Tajik State Medical University</institution><country>Tajikistan</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2023</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>12</day><month>07</month><year>2023</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>2</issue><fpage>37</fpage><lpage>44</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Гулов М.К., Салимов Д.С., Мухаббатов Д.К., Али-Заде С.Г., Носири К.Н., 2023</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2023</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Гулов М.К., Салимов Д.С., Мухаббатов Д.К., Али-Заде С.Г., Носири К.Н.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Gulov M.K., Salimov J.S., Mukhabbatov J.K., Ali-Zade S.G., Nosiri K.N.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.zdrav.tj/jour/article/view/452">https://www.zdrav.tj/jour/article/view/452</self-uri><abstract><sec><title>Цель исследования</title><p>Цель исследования. Своевременное выявления ишемии кишечника у больных с острой спаечной тонкокишечной непроходимостью.</p><p>Материал и методы исследования. Нами были исследованы 124 пациента с острой спаечной тонкокишечной непроходимостью. С целью определения наиболее значимых прогностических факторов ишемии кишечника мы провели логистический регрессионный анализ, полученные при этом показатели коэффициента регрессии использовались в виде балльной оценки.</p><p>Результаты исследования и их обсуждение. Было выявлено шесть независимых прогностических факторов ишемии кишечника: возраст, продолжительность боли, температура тела, количество лейкоцитов, снижение контрастирования стенки кишечника и локальный отёк брыжейки по данным КТ. Согласно регрессии, каждой из переменных, связанных с ишемией кишечника, были присвоены коэффициентные баллы. Предполагаемая частота ишемии кишечника была рассчитана в виде суммы баллов в диапазоне от 0 до 24. Пороговое значение в 6 баллов было использовано для группы с низкой вероятностью (риск ишемии кишечника составлял 1,13%). Оценка от 7 до 15 определяла группу промежуточной вероятности (риск ишемии кишечника составил 44%). Оценка ≥16 определяла группу высокой вероятности (у всех пациентов данной группы отмечалась ишемия кишечника).</p></sec><sec><title>Выводы</title><p>Выводы. Мы выполнили оценку прогнозирования риска ишемии кишечника с хорошей точностью (выше 90%). Эта оценка надежна и воспроизводима, поэтому она может помочь хирургу дифференцировать пациентов с ишемией кишечника для выполнения хирургического вмешательства, так как ишемические нарушения могут иметь обратимый характер, что позволяет избежать развитие некроза кишечника.</p></sec></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><sec><title>Aim</title><p>Aim. To detect intestinal ischemia promptly in patients with acute adhesive small bowel obstruction.</p></sec><sec><title>Methods</title><p>Methods. A total of 124 patients with acute adhesive small bowel obstruction were studied. Logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the most significant prognostic factors for intestinal ischemia. The derived regression coefficient indicators were utilized in a scoring system.</p></sec><sec><title>Results</title><p>Results. Six independent prognostic factors of intestinal ischemia were identified: age, duration of pain, body temperature, white blood cell count, reduced intestinal wall contrast, and localized mesenteric edema visible on a CT scan. Regression coefficient scores were attributed to each variable associated with intestinal ischemia. The predicted occurrence of bowel ischemia was computed as a sum of scores ranging from 0 to 24. A threshold of 6 points was used to define the low-probability group (risk of bowel ischemia was 1.13%). A score between 7 and 15 determined the intermediate-probability group (the risk of intestinal ischemia was 44%). A score of ≥16 defined the high-probability group (all patients in this group had intestinal ischemia).</p></sec><sec><title>Conclusions</title><p>Conclusions. The risk prediction assessment of bowel ischemia was performed with high accuracy (above 90%). This evaluation is reliable and reproducible, hence it may aid the surgeon to differentiate patients with intestinal ischemia for surgical intervention. Since ischemic disorders may be reversible, this could prevent the development of intestinal necrosis.</p></sec></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>кишечная непроходимость</kwd><kwd>тонкий кишечник</kwd><kwd>операция</kwd><kwd>спайки</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>intestinal obstruction</kwd><kwd>small intestine</kwd><kwd>surgery</kwd><kwd>adhesions</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Абдурахманов М.М. 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